Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.322505 0.375343 0.433734 0.502994 0.582858 0.672013 0.779049
2025-04-06 0.225096 0.292910 0.376097 0.485418 0.625068 0.797259 1.025472
2025-04-13 0.172534 0.243438 0.337227 0.469888 0.652190 0.893362 1.236059
2025-04-20 0.144156 0.217299 0.320172 0.474623 0.699739 1.014853 1.488253
2025-04-27 0.129051 0.205916 0.319869 0.499902 0.775792 1.180914 1.818845
2025-05-04 0.114792 0.192825 0.314133 0.514770 0.836342 1.329146 2.138297
2025-05-11 0.101298 0.178441 0.303729 0.519868 0.880829 1.455999 2.437086
2025-05-18 0.088843 0.163631 0.290171 0.517220 0.911183 1.562057 2.712123
2025-05-25 0.077777 0.149425 0.275433 0.510066 0.932088 1.653362 2.970559
2025-06-01 0.068995 0.137953 0.263745 0.506298 0.957553 1.753682 3.253127
2025-06-08 0.059800 0.124310 0.246242 0.489448 0.956945 1.807397 3.457442
2025-06-15 0.057775 0.124330 0.254160 0.521011 1.048992 2.035803 4.001152
2025-06-22 0.050551 0.112965 0.238965 0.506517 1.052701 2.103783 4.257009
2025-06-29 0.044036 0.102152 0.223525 0.489673 1.049982 2.159629 4.496576
2025-07-06 0.038543 0.092711 0.209615 0.474058 1.047548 2.215078 4.740096
2025-07-13 0.035448 0.088196 0.205568 0.478836 1.087983 2.360132 5.179642
2025-07-20 0.034240 0.087895 0.210703 0.504331 1.175628 2.610786 5.863830
2025-07-27 0.032354 0.085678 0.211197 0.519326 1.241630 2.821965 6.484328
2025-08-03 0.029999 0.081941 0.207662 0.524468 1.285752 2.989894 7.026497
2025-08-10 0.027425 0.077249 0.201216 0.521797 1.311237 3.118671 7.493076
2025-08-17 0.024875 0.072232 0.193326 0.514582 1.324999 3.222048 7.911464
2025-08-24 0.022766 0.068095 0.187113 0.510781 1.346550 3.345249 8.387676
2025-08-31 0.020261 0.062462 0.176302 0.493788 1.333246 3.384800 8.668511